韋德布什(Dan Ives)是華爾街最具影響力的科技分析師之一,現任韋德布什證券公司(Wedbush Securities)董事總經理兼股票研究主管。他以精準預測科技行業趨勢而聞名,特別是在蘋果、特斯拉等科技巨頭分析方面享有盛譽。
Dan Ives, widely known as "Wedbush", is one of Wall Street's most influential tech analysts, currently serving as Managing Director and Head of Equity Research at Wedbush Securities. He is renowned for his accurate predictions of tech industry trends, particularly in analyzing tech giants like Apple and Tesla.
從默默無聞的分析師到華爾街科技分析領域的權威,韋德布什用20年時間證明:堅持專業判斷,不隨波逐流,終將獲得市場的認可。
From an unknown analyst to an authority in Wall Street's tech analysis field, Wedbush spent 20 years proving that sticking to professional judgment and not following the crowd will eventually gain market recognition.
1974年,韋德布什出生在美國紐約一個普通中產家庭。父親是會計,母親是小學教師。從小,他就展現出對數字的敏感和對商業世界的濃厚興趣。
Born in 1974 in New York to a middle-class family, Wedbush's father was an accountant and his mother an elementary school teacher. From an early age, he showed sensitivity to numbers and a strong interest in the business world.
12歲那年,他用零花錢買了人生第一支股票IBM,雖然最初虧損,但這個經歷讓他明白:投資需要耐心和深入研究。高中時期,他經常泡在圖書館研究《華爾街日報》和《財富》雜志。
At age 12, he used his pocket money to buy his first stock, IBM. Although he initially lost money, this experience taught him that investing requires patience and in-depth research. In high school, he often stayed in the library studying the Wall Street Journal and Fortune magazine.
大學期間,韋德布什選擇了金融專業,但并非一帆風順。大二時,他的一篇關于科技股的分析報告被教授評為"過于激進",這讓他一度懷疑自己的判斷能力。
In college, Wedbush majored in finance, but it wasn't smooth sailing. In his sophomore year, a tech stock analysis report he wrote was rated by his professor as "too aggressive," which made him doubt his judgment for a time.
然而,他沒有放棄自己的分析方法。通過大量數據研究和實地調研,他逐漸形成了自己獨特的"基本面+技術面+行業趨勢"三維分析框架。這個框架后來成為他職業生涯的標志性方法論。
However, he didn't abandon his analytical approach. Through extensive data research and field investigations, he gradually developed his unique three-dimensional analytical framework combining fundamentals, technicals, and industry trends - a methodology that later became his career hallmark.
1996年畢業后,韋德布什進入一家小型證券公司擔任初級分析師。最初兩年,他的分析報告經常被忽視,薪資也遠低于同行。最困難時,他不得不兼職做家教來支付房租。
After graduating in 1996, Wedbush joined a small securities firm as a junior analyst. In the first two years, his analysis reports were often ignored, and his salary was much lower than his peers. At his most difficult time, he had to work part-time as a tutor to pay the rent.
轉折發生在1998年,他準確預測了亞馬遜將挺過互聯網泡沫危機。這份報告最初被上司否決,但事實證明他是對的。這次成功讓他獲得了第一波行業關注。
The turning point came in 1998 when he accurately predicted Amazon would survive the dot-com bubble crisis. This report was initially rejected by his supervisor, but events proved him right. This success earned him his first wave of industry attention.
2009年全球金融危機后,韋德布什做出了職業生涯最重要的決定:專注于科技行業分析。當時許多人認為科技股已死,他卻看到了移動互聯網和云計算的巨大潛力。
After the 2009 global financial crisis, Wedbush made the most important decision of his career: to focus on tech industry analysis. While many believed tech stocks were dead, he saw the huge potential of mobile internet and cloud computing.
2013年,他加入韋德布什證券公司并迅速嶄露頭角。他對蘋果公司服務業務增長的預測,以及對特斯拉生存能力的準確判斷,使他在華爾街聲名鵲起。
In 2013, he joined Wedbush Securities and quickly made his mark. His predictions about Apple's services business growth and accurate judgments about Tesla's viability made him famous on Wall Street.
截至2023年,韋德布什團隊管理的資產規模超過500億美元。他連續8年被《機構投資者》雜志評為"最佳科技分析師",其觀點經常被CNBC、彭博社等主流媒體引用。
As of 2023, the assets managed by Wedbush's team exceed $50 billion. He has been named "Best Tech Analyst" by Institutional Investor magazine for eight consecutive years, and his views are frequently cited by mainstream media like CNBC and Bloomberg.
更重要的是,他創立了"科技民主化"投資理念,幫助普通投資者理解復雜的科技行業。2022年,他出版了暢銷書《科技投資的未來》,分享他20年的行業洞察。
More importantly, he created the "democratization of tech" investment philosophy to help ordinary investors understand the complex tech industry. In 2022, he published the bestseller "The Future of Tech Investing," sharing his 20 years of industry insights.
韋德布什常說:"市場會獎勵那些看得比別人遠、堅持得比別人久的人。"他相信,真正的價值投資需要獨立思考的勇氣和長期主義的耐心。
Wedbush often says, "The market rewards those who can see further than others and persist longer than others." He believes true value investing requires the courage to think independently and the patience of long-termism.
在2023年的一次演講中,他分享道:"我職業生涯最大的教訓是:當所有人都向左轉時,有時向右轉才是正確的。專業分析師的職責不是預測市場,而是發現市場忽略的價值。"
In a 2023 speech, he shared: "The biggest lesson of my career is: when everyone turns left, sometimes turning right is correct. A professional analyst's duty isn't to predict the market, but to discover the value the market overlooks."
如今,韋德布什不僅是一位成功的分析師,更成為無數年輕金融從業者的榜樣。他的故事證明:在浮躁的華爾街,堅持專業判斷和獨立思考,同樣能夠獲得巨大成功。
Today, Wedbush is not only a successful analyst but also a role model for countless young finance professionals. His story proves that even in the fast-paced Wall Street, adhering to professional judgment and independent thinking can lead to great success.